Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Original Song

The competition:
Down to Joy (Belfast) was written by Van Morrison, marking his first nomination. The film is the nominations leader.

Dos Oruguitas (Encanto) was written by Lin-Manuel Miranda. He was nominated in this category in 2016 for a song from “Moana” and twice for his performances, in “Hamilton” and “Mary Poppins Returns.” The film is also nominated for Best Animated Film and Best Original Score.

Be Alive (King Richard) was written by Beyoncé and Dixson. She has three previous nominations in this category, for “The Lion King,” “Cadillac Records,” and “Dreamgirls.” She was also nominated for her performance in “Dreamgirls.” This is Dixson’s first nomination. The film is also up for Best Motion Picture – Drama and for stars Will Smith and Aunjanue Ellis.

No Time to Die (No Time to Die) was written by Billie Eilish and Finneas O'Connell. It’s the first nomination for both, and represents the only bid for the film.

Here I Am (Singing My Way Home) (Respect) was written by Jennifer Hudson, Jamie Hartman, and Carole King. This is the first nomination for Hartman and King. Hudson won her previous bid, which was for acting in “Dreamgirls” in 2006. This is the only nomination for the film.

Additional notes: All five of these songs made the fifteen-wide finalist list for the corresponding Oscar category. The winner of this award has gone on to win the Oscar seven times out of the past fifteen years, though six of the remaining times the winner wasn’t even nominated there. Eight James Bond songs have been nominated in the past, and the two most recent entries – from “Skyfall” and “Spectre” – won.
What should win? It’s a good list, but it has to be “No Time to Die.”
What will win? I don’t see how it’s anything but No Time to Die.