Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Motion Picture – Drama

The competition:
Belfast is directed by Kenneth Branagh, marking his seventeenth film. It is tied for the nominations leader, also contending for its director, screenplay, song, and performances from actors Jamie Dornan, Ciarán Hinds, and Caitriona Balfe.

CODA is directed by Sian Heder, marking her second film. Supporting actor Troy Kotsur has the film’s only other mention.

Dune is directed by Denis Villeneuve, marking his tenth film. It also contends for its directing and its score.

King Richard is directed by Reinaldo Marcus Green, marking his third film. It also contends for its song and performances from stars Will Smith and Aunjanue Ellis.

The Power of the Dog is directed by Jane Campion, marking her eighth film. It is tied for the nominations leader, also contends for its directing, screenplay, score, and performances from Benedict Cumberbatch, Kodi Smit-McPhee, and Kirsten Dunst.

Additional notes: The winner of this award has gone on to win the Oscar for Best Picture only five times in the past fifteen years, and only three times in the entire history of the Globes, most recently in 1963, has the winner been snubbed altogether at the Oscars. Only “Belfast” and “The Power of the Dog” have both their screenplays and director nominated.
What should win? Well, “CODA” is my favorite film of the year and “Belfast” and “Dune” are also in my top ten, so any of those will do! I’m fine with “The Power of the Dog” too, even if it’s not at the top of my list.
What will win? I’m not sure, but I think The Power of the Dog is ahead here.