Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

The competition:
Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye) plays the titular televangelist. She has five previous nominations, for “Molly’s Game,” “Miss Sloane,” “A Most Violent Year,” “The Help,” and “Zero Dark Thirty,” the last of which led to a victory. She is the lone representative of her film but is also nominated this year for the limited series “Scenes from a Marriage.”

Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter) plays vacationing academic Leda Caruso. She is a three-time Globe winner, with prizes for season three of “The Crown,” the film “The Favourite,” and the limited series “The Night Manager.” She was double-nominated last year for season four of “The Crown” and the film “The Father.” Her film’s director Maggie Gyllenhaal is also nominated this year.

Lady Gaga (House of Gucci) plays fashion mogul Patrizia Reggiani. She won a Globe for her role in season five of “American Horror Story” in 2011 and then again for her signature song from “A Star is Born” in 2018, which also netted her an acting nomination. She is the lone representative from her film.

Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos) plays actress Lucille Ball. She has four Globe wins, for season one of “Big Little Lies” and the films “The Hours,” “Moulin Rouge,” and “To Die For.” She has three additional TV bids and eight additional film nominations. Her costar Javier Bardem is also nominated, as is her film’s screenplay.

Kristen Stewart (Spencer) plays Princess Diana. This is her first nomination, and she is the lone representative from her film.

Additional notes: All five of these women were cited by the Critics Choice Association in their nomination lists. The winner of this category has gone on to win the Oscar seven times in the past decade.
Who should win? This is a strong list. My top choice would be Chastain.
Who will win? Last year brought a major surprise in this race. I’m not sure that will be the case this time, which means that Stewart wins.