Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

The competition:
Leonardo DiCaprio (Don’t Look Up) plays Dr. Randall Mindy. He has twelve previous nominations, with wins for “The Aviator,” “The Wolf of Wall Street,” and “The Revenant.” His film is nominated for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical and Best Screenplay, along with actress Jennifer Lawrence.

Peter Dinklage (Cyrano) plays wordsmith actor Cyrano de Bergerac. Though he has four Emmy wins, Dinklage only has one previous Globe nomination under his belt, which he won, for season one of “Game of Thrones” exactly a decade ago. His film contends for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical.

Andrew Garfield (tick, tick…BOOM!) plays playwright Jonathan Larson. He was previously nominated for “Hacksaw Ridge” in 2016 and “The Social Network” in 2010. His film is up for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical.

Cooper Hoffman (Licorice Pizza) plays teenager entrepreneur Gary Valentine. This is his debut performance. His film is up for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical, and his costar Alana Haim is also nominated.

Anthony Ramos (In the Heights) plays bodega owner Usnavi de la Vega. This is his first Globe nomination. He is the lone representative from his film.

Additional notes: Dinklage and Garfield were cited by the Critics Choice Association in their nominations list. The winner of this category sometimes goes on to be nominated for an Oscar, and two victors – Jean Dujardin and Jamie Foxx – have actually won the Oscar. Three recent winners, Sacha Baron Cohen, Taron Egerton, and James Franco were ultimately not nominated for the Oscar, though in two of those cases, one man who lost to them did make the cut. The last actor to win this prize without having their film nominated for the top prize was Paul Giamatti in 2010 for “Barney’s Version.”
Who should win? Ramos was great, but my top choice would be either Garfield or Hoffman, who were both wonderful.
Who will win? I think this will go to Garfield, though it’s always possible that DiCaprio or Dinklage could take it instead.