Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Actress in a Supporting Role

The competition:
Caitriona Balfe (Belfast) plays protective mother Ma. She was nominated from 2015 to 2018 for “Outlander.” Her film is tied as the nominations leader.

Ariana DeBose (West Side Story) plays loyal girlfriend Anita. This is her first Globe nomination. Her film is up for Best Motion Picture – Comedy Musical, with director Steven Spielberg and costar Rachel Zegler also nominated.

Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog) inn owner Rose Gordon. She earned her first nomination back in 1994 for “Interview with the Vampire: The Vampire Chronicles.” She was nominated again in 2015 for season two of “Fargo” and in 2019 for “On Becoming a God in Central Florida.” Her film is tied as the nominations leader.

Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard) plays committed wife and mother Brandy Price. This is her first Globe nomination. Her costar Will Smith is also nominated, along with a song from the film, which contends for Best Motion Picture – Drama.

Ruth Negga (Passing) plays secretive wife Clare Bellew. She was previously nominated in 2016 for “Loving.” She is the lone representative from her film.

Additional notes: Everyone except Negga was cited by the Critics Choice Association in their nominations list. Only five times in the entire history of this category has the winner gone on not to be nominated for an Oscar, with last year being the first time in forty years that it happened when Jodie Foster won this prize. All but five times in the past fifteen years, the winner of this category has also won the Oscar, and several of those instances involved different nominees and category placements.
Who should win? This is a good list. I would choose DeBose or Balfe.
Who will win? I think this will be Dunst but it’s also possible it could be DeBose.