Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Documentary Feature

The competition: Collective, Crip Camp, The Moly Agent, My Octopus Teacher, Time

Previous winners: American Factory, Free Solo, Icarus, OJ: Made in America, Amy, Citizenfour, Twenty Feet from Stardom
My winner: Coming soon
The facts: This is the first nomination for all filmmakers in this category. After “Honeyland” last year, “Collective” becomes the second film nominated in this category to also be up for Best International Feature. Two of these films are foreign-language productions, which have won this category ten times since its inception, most recently in 2005 for “March of the Penguins.” There are a handful of precursors relevant to this category. “Crip Camp” and “Time” scored at the International Documentary Association, while “Dick Johnson Is Dead,” which isn’t nominated, won the Critics’ Choice Documentary Award, which also gave a cinematography prize to “My Octopus Teacher,” the PGA winner. The only film nominated for all those prizes was “Time.”
Who should win: I was very impressed with “Collective,” “Time,” and “Crip Camp,” and would be happy to see any of those win.
Who will win: This is a very competitive category this year, and I’m really not sure what will win. I’ll bet on Collective with “Crip Camp” also very possible.