Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Film Editing

The competition: The Father (Yorgos Lamprinos), Nomadland (Chloé Zhao), Promising Young Woman (Frédéric Thoraval), Sound of Metal (Mikkel E.G. Nielsen), The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Alan Baumgarten)

Previous winners: Ford v Ferrari, Bohemian Rhapsody, Dunkirk, Hacksaw Ridge, Mad Max: Fury Road, Whiplash, Gravity
My winner: Coming soon!
The facts: Zhao is also nominated this year for writing, directing, and producing her film. Baumgarten contended previously in 2013 for “American Hustle.” This was the exact lineup that contended at BAFTA, where “Sound of Metal” prevailed. All but “The Father” were up for the ACE Eddie Award, which, somewhat surprisingly went to “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” Four of the last ten Oscars winners didn’t win either ACE Eddie. The winner of this award hasn’t gone on to win Best Picture since “Argo” in 2012, and it’s actually much more common for the two not to match up, though all but two of the last ten winners were nominated for the top prize. All five of these films are nominated for Best Picture.
Who should win: “Promising Young Woman”
Who will win: I’ll stick with Sound of Metal to win here.