Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

The competition:

Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) plays grandmother Mamaw Vance. She has thirteen previous acting nominations, winning in 2004 for “The Lion in Winter,” in 2007 for “Damages,” and in 2018 for “The Wife.” She is the lone representative from her film.

Olivia Colman (The Father) plays devoted daughter Anne. Colman is a double nominee this year and has won on all three of her past nominations: in 2019 for “The Crown,” for which she contends again, in 2018 for “The Favourite,” and in 2016 for “The Night Manager.”

Jodie Foster (The Mauritanian) plays lawyer Nancy Hollander. She has seven previous nominations, including two wins, for “The Accused” in 1988 and in 1991 for “The Silence of the Lambs,” in addition to having received the Cecil B. DeMille Award in 2012. Her costar Tahar Rahim is also nominated this year.

Amanda Seyfried (Mank) plays actress Marion Davies. This is her first Globe nomination. Her film is the nominations leader.

Helena Zengel (News of the World) plays orphan Johanna Leonberger. This is the first Globe nomination for the twelve-year-old actress. Her film is also nominated for Best Original Score.

Additional notes: Close, Colman, and Zengel are also nominated for individual SAG Awards, while Close, Colman, and Seyfried are up for Critics Choice Awards, where Zengel is a nominee in the Young Actor/Actress category. Only four times in the entire history of this category has the winner gone on not to be nominated for an Oscar, and the most recent time was more than forty years ago. All but four times in the past fifteen years, the winner of this category has also won the Oscar, and several of those instances involved different nominees and category placements.
Who should win? None of these performances are at the top of my list, but I think I’d choose Seyfried.
Who will win? It’s hard to know with popular critics’ pick Maria Bakalova in a different category – probably Close?