Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Actor in a Supporting Role

The competition:

Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7) plays defendant Abbie Hoffman. Cohen won a Globe in 2006 for the first “Borat” movie and is also nominated this year for his performance in the sequel, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.” Both films are nominated for in other categories and for the top prizes. This is third year in a row that Cohen has been a Globe nominee after TV bids for “Who Is America?” and “The Spy.”

Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah) plays activist Fred Hampton. Kaluuya was previously nominated in 2017 for “Get Out.” His film also contends for Best Original Song.

Jared Leto (The Little Things) plays murder suspect Albert Sparma. He won this prize in 2013 for “Dallas Buyers Club.” He is the lone representative from his film.

Bill Murray (On the Rocks) plays eccentric father Felix Keene. He has six previous nominations, most recently earning two bids in 2014 and winning in 2003 for “Lost in Translation.” He is the lone representative from his film.

Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami) plays singer Sam Cooke. This is his first Globe nomination, and he also contends for a song from his film, which earned a third bid for Best Director. Odom also stars in two nominees for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical this year, “Hamilton” and “Music.”

Additional notes: All but Murray are nominated for individual SAG Awards, and all but Leto are up for Critics Choice Awards. Only once in the past forty years has the winner of this category gone on not to be nominated for an Oscar (Aaron Taylor-Johnson in 2016), and the victor here also claimed the Oscar all but four times in the past fifteen years.
Who should win? I’m not sure why Leto is here but the rest are all great choices.
Who will win? I really don’t know. It could be any of them except Murray, and I think Leto may actually take it, baffling as that might be to believe.