Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

The competition:

Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal) plays drummer Ruben Stone. He was nominated previously in 2016 for his TV role in “The Night Of.” He is the lone representative of his film.

Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) plays musician Levee Green. This is his first Golden Globe nomination, received posthumously after his death from cancer this past August. His costar Viola Davis is also nominated.

Anthony Hopkins (The Father) plays the dementia-stricken Anthony. The Oscar winner has never actually won a competitive Globe despite seven previous bids, including last year for “The Two Popes,” and was honored with the Cecil B. DeMille Award fifteen years ago. His film contends for Best Motion Picture – Drama and two other awards.

Gary Oldman (Mank) plays screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz. He won this prize three years ago for “Darkest Hour.” His film is the nominations leader.

Tahar Rahim (The Mauritanian) plays detainee Mohamedou Ould Salahi. This is Rahim’s first Globe nomination, and he is joined by costar Jodie Foster.

Additional notes: All but Rahim are also received notes from SAG and the Critics Choice Association for these performances. The winner of this prize has gone on to win the Oscar every year since 2012.
Who should win? These are all very strong performances and any of them would deserve this win. I would choose Boseman, Ahmed, or Oldman.
Who will win? It could be Hopkins since his film obviously has support, but I think it’s likelier to be Ahmed or Boseman.