Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Cinematography

The competition: The Irishman (Rodrigo Prieto), Joker (Lawrence Sher), The Lighthouse (Jarin Blaschke), 1917 (Roger Deakins), Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Robert Richardson)

Previous winners: Blade Runner 2049, La La Land, The Revenant, Birdman, Gravity, Life of Pi, Hugo
My winner: 1917
The facts: This is the fifteenth nomination for Deakins, who finally won on his most recent try for “Blade Runner 2049” in 2017. This is the tenth nomination for Richardson, who won previously for “JFK” in 1991, “The Aviator” in 2004, and “Hugo” in 2011. Prieto was nominated in 2005 for “Brokeback Mountain” and in 2016 for “Silence.” This is the first nomination for both Blaschke and Sher. Since the ASC has existed, its winner has only gone on to win the Oscar fourteen out of thirty-three times, and five times in the past decade. The BAFTA and the ASC were both awarded to “1917,” and the Spotlight Award from the ASC went to “The Lighthouse.” A Best Picture nominee has won this award every year over the past decade except for in 2017. The last black-and-white film to win this award was last year’s “Roma.”

Who should win: “1917” is the best of these, but they’re all extremely well-shot.
Who will win: This is going to 1917.