SAG Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

Last year’s nominees: Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns), Glenn Close (The Wife), Olivia Colman (The Favourite), Lady Gaga (A Star is Born), Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

I’m making predictions for SAG, which will announce its picks next Wednesday, ahead of the Golden Globe nominations being unveiled on Monday, though I may revise them again on Tuesday if there are some big surprises. The frontrunner here is Renee Zellweger (Judy), and she’ll almost definitely be joined by Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story) and Charlize Theron (Bombshell). Beyond that, it’s anyone’s guess. Lupita Nyong'o (Us) and Alfre Woodard (Clemency) may be building steam, while it still remains a question mark how Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) and Cynthia Erivo (Harriet) will do. It would be great for Awkwafina (The Farewell) to score here, but that’s far from guaranteed. Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell) is apparently eligible in this category rather than the supporting race, and while she’ll likely earn other accolades for her performance, it would be strange for her to show up here given her clearly supporting role in the film.

Current predictions:
Awkwafina (The Farewell)
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
Renee Zellweger (Judy)