Oscar Shortlist Predictions

It’s been an informative week with Golden Globe and SAG nominations being announced, with plenty of shake-ups for the Oscar race. We won’t get confirmation of how it all plays out for almost another full month, but tomorrow, shortlists will be unveiled in a handful of categories. I won’t make predictions for the short film races or for Best Original Song, though I’ll do more research after they’re unveiled. Without commentary, I’m going to list what I believe will be included on the finalist lists for the following five categories. Once they’re announced, I’ll analyze what did and didn’t make the cut, and what that means for the Oscar race.

Best Documentary
American Factory
The Apollo
Apollo 11
Ask Dr. Ruth
The Biggest Little Farm
The Cave
Citizen K
Cold Case Hammarskjold
The Edge of Democracy
For Sama
The Great Hack
Honeyland
Maiden
Knock Down the House
One Child Nation

Best International Feature
Invisible Life (Brazil)
Monos (Colombia)
Truth and Justice (Estonia)
Les Miserables (France)
Out Stealing Horses (Norway)
Corpus Christi (Poland)
Beanpole (Russia)
Parasite (South Korea)
Pain and Glory (Spain)
And Then We Danced (Sweden)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Bombshell
Cats
The Irishman
Joker
Little Women
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Rocketman

Best Original Score
Avengers: Endgame
Bombshell
Ford v Ferrari
Harriet
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
Motherless Brooklyn
1917
The Report
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
The Two Popes
Us
Waves

Best Visual Effects
Ad Astra
Alita: Battle Angel
Avengers: Endgame
Captain Marvel
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
The Lion King
1917
Spider-Man: Far from Home
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker