Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

The competition:
Dolemite Is My Name is directed by Craig Brewer, marking his fifth film. Star Eddie Murphy is also nominated for his performance.

Jojo Rabbit is directed by Taika Waititi, making his sixth feature film. Star Roman Griffin Davis is also nominated for his performance.

Knives Out is directed by Rian Johnson, marking his fifth film. Stars Daniel Craig and Ana de Armas are nominated for their performances.

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is directed by Quentin Tarantino, marking his ninth film and his first nominated in this category. It also contends for its direction, screenplay, and for stars Leonardo DiCaprio and Brad Pitt.

Rocketman is directed by Dexter Fletcher, marking his fourth film. Star Taron Egerton is nominated for his performance, and the film also contends for Best Original Song.

Additional notes: The winner of this award has gone on to be nominated for the Oscar for Best Picture ten times in the past fifteen years, triumphing there twice, in 2011 for “The Artist” and last year for “Green Book.” A directing nomination isn’t crucial for a win here but it does help. Both “Jojo Rabbit” and “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” are nominated at the SAG Awards for their ensembles.
What should win? I’ve mentioned my lack of enthusiasm for both “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” and “Rocketman” in my posts about other categories. I enjoyed “Knives Out” and thought “Jojo Rabbit” was very interesting and entertaining. My clear choice, however, is the highly underrated “Dolemite Is My Name.”
What will win? It’s possible that “Jojo Rabbit” or even “Knives Out” scores an upset here, but I think Once Upon a Time in Hollywood safely has this.