Golden Globe Musings: Best Motion Picture – Drama

Golden Globe nominations for this year will be announced shortly, so here’s a survey of the contenders and the most likely predictions at this time. Weigh in with your thoughts, and let me know if I’ve left off anything important. A reminder that the Globes are wildly unpredictable and that it is still a bit early to gauge the reception or awards potential of a number of the so-called “contenders” at this point.

Last year’s nominees:
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born

The past two years, I’ve missed predicting the winner of this category as a nominee. I hope not to make that mistake this time, and that’s mainly because I’ll be including The Irishman and 1917, which I consider the frontrunners for the win here. Likely Oscar nominee “Parasite” isn’t eligible here because it’s a foreign-language film, so next up is Marriage Story. After that, Little Women is probably likeliest, with Ford v Ferrari, Joker, Bombshell, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, and The Two Popes also very possible. Apparently Uncut Gems has also been switched to this category, which I don’t think is a smart idea since its chances at a nomination are that much weaker. If it does show up, that’s a really good sign for its Oscar chances. I think, however, that another late-breaking hit, Richard Jewell, will claim the final spot.

Current predictions:
The Irishman
Little Women
Marriage Story
1917
Richard Jewell