Oscar Predictions: Best Sound Editing

This year, Oscar nominations will be announced on Tuesday, January 22nd. I’ll be offering detailed predictions in most of the major categories.

Last year’s nominees: Baby Driver, Blade Runner 2049, Dunkirk, The Shape of Water, Star Wars: The Last Jedi

My choices: Coming in February!

This year’s locks: A Quiet Place

Very likely: Black Panther, First Man

Possible: Mary Poppins Returns, Roma, Ready Player One, A Star is Born, Annihilation, Solo: A Star Wars Story

Unlikely: Mission: Impossible – Fallout

The rundown: Last year, for the first time, this category matched up 100% with the Best Sound race. I’m predicting a 3/5 matchup, which is more common, though I’m not exactly secure about my choices. A Quiet Place seems like a given, and Black Panther and First Man do too. Tech-heavy contenders like Ready Player One, Annihilation, Solo: A Star Wars Story, or Mission: Impossible – Fallout will probably get some votes, while the films expected to do well in the major categories, like Mary Poppins Returns, Roma, A Star is Born, and Bohemian Rhapsody also could. I’m not too confident in these predictions, though I think that we won’t see 100% matchup between the two sound categories again this year.

One possible crazy scenario: The Coen Brothers’ vignette western comedy spoof The Ballad of Buster Scruggs lands an unexpected nomination.

Forecasted winner: I think this goes to First Man.