Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

The competition:
Crazy Rich Asians is directed by John M. Chu, marking his sixth feature film. Actress Constance Yu is also nominated for her performance.

The Favourite is directed by Yorgos Lanthimos, marking his seventh feature film. The screenplay and all three actresses are also nominated.

Green Book is directed by Peter Farrelly, who co-directed a 1998 nominee in this category, “There’s Something About Mary.” This is his thirteen film. It contends for its direction, screenplay, and stars Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali.

Mary Poppins Returns is directed by Rob Marshall, marking his sixth film and his fourth nominated in this category. “Chicago” won in 2002. Stars Emily Blunt and Lin-Manuel Miranda are nominated along with the film’s score. The original “Mary Poppins” was a contender in this category in 1964.

Vice is directed by Adam McKay, marking his seventh film and his second film honored in this category after “The Big Short” in 2015. This film is the nominations leader, contending for its direction, screenplay, and three of its stars.

Additional notes: The winner of this award has gone on to be nominated for the Oscar for Best Picture ten times in the past fifteen years, triumphing there just once in 2011 with “The Artist.” A directing nomination isn’t crucial for a win here but it does help. The only sequel I can find that was nominated, “Toy Story 2,” ended up winning.
What should win? I was more annoyed than anything else with “Vice,” and I hope it doesn’t win. I wasn’t wowed by “Mary Poppins Returns,” and don’t think it’s worthy of being grouped with these films. “Crazy Rich Asians” was fun but hardly the best comedy of the year. “Green Book” and “The Favourite” are both pretty much on par for me as excellent choices, and I’d be very happy with either, even if the latter might excite me a bit more.
What will win? It’s a tough call, since there are three distinct possibilities here. I think that The Favourite will ultimately win out over the two films that received director bids, “Green Book” and “Vice,” both of which could easily prevail.