Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Original Song

The competition:
All the Stars (Black Panther) was written by Kendrick Lamar, Al Shux, Sounwave, SZA, and Anthony Tiffith. This is the first nomination for all involved. The film is also nominated for Best Motion Picture – Drama and Best Original Score.

Girl in the Movies (Dumplin’) was written by Dolly Parton and Linda Perry. Parton was previously nominated in this category for songs from “Transamerica” in 2005 and from “Nine to Five” in 1980, when she also earned bids for acting and New Star of the Year – Female, and one additional acting bid for “The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas” in 1982. This is the film’s only nomination.

Requiem for a Private War (A Private War) was written by Annie Lennox, who won this award in 2003 for her song from “The Return of the King.” The film is also nominated for Best Actress is a Motion Picture – Drama.

Revelation (Boy Erased) was written by Jon Thor Birgisson, Brett McLaughlin, and Troye Sivan. This is the first nomination for all involved. The film is also nominated for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama.

Shallow (A Star is Born) was written by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, and Andrew Wyatt. Gaga is also nominated for acting in the film, and won a TV award in 2015 for “American Horror Story.” The film also contends for Best Motion Picture – Drama and for director and actor Bradley Cooper.

Additional notes: Only “Requiem for a Private War” missed the fifteen-wide finalist list for the corresponding Oscar category. The winner of this award has gone on to win the Oscar six times out of the past fifteen years, though seven of the remaining times the winner wasn’t even nominated there. Mary J. Blige and Bjork were nominated in 2017 and 2000, respectively, for acting and songwriting, and in both cases, neither won.
What should win? These are all good choices. I got on board with the slow beat of “Girl in the Movies” after listening to it a few times, but none of these compare to the film-defining “Shallow.”
What will win? Dolly Parton could surprise, but Shallow should be far enough ahead of everything else.