Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

The competition:
Amy Adams (Vice) plays former Second Lady Lynne Cheney. Her film is nominated for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical. Adams is also nominated for her TV work in “Sharp Objects” this year. She has seven previous nominations, with back-to-back wins in 2013 and 2014 for “American Hustle” and “Big Eyes,” respectively.

Claire Foy (First Man) plays Janet Shearon Armstrong, the wife of the first man to walk on the moon. Her film is also nominated for Best Original Score. Foy was nominated last year for her work on the TV show “The Crown” and won the year before that for the same performance.

Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) plays Sharon Rivers, a loyal mother trying to defend the father of her daughter’s baby from wrongful incarceration. Her film is nominated for Best Motion Picture – Drama. She also contends this year for her TV work in “Seven Seconds.” The three-time Emmy winner was previously nominated for a Globe in 2015 for “American Crime.”

Emma Stone (The Favourite) plays Abigail Masham, a woman vying with her cousin for the affection of the queen. Her film is nominated for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical. Stone was nominated last year for “Battle of the Sexes,” won the year before that for “La La Land,” and was previously nominated for “Birdman” and “Easy A.”

Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) plays Sarah Churchill, a duchess vying with her cousin for the affection of the queen. Her film is nominated for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical. She won a Globe in 2005 for “The Constant Gardener” and was also nominated in 2012 for “The Deep Blue Sea.”

Additional notes: Adams, Stone, and Weisz all contend for individual SAG Awards. Four times in the past fifteen years, two actresses from one film have faced off, with only one instance resulting in one of them winning, when Melissa Leo beat Amy Adams for “The Fighter.” Only four times in the entire history of this category has the winner gone on not to be nominated for an Oscar, and the most recent time was more than forty years ago. All but five times in the past fifteen years, the winner of this category has also won the Oscar, and several of those instances involved different nominees and category placements.
Who should win? This is a great list. Adams and Foy were the standouts of their films, and King delivered a strong turn in hers as well. Though I might argue that they’re leads, both Stone and Weisz were terrific in their film. I think I’d choose the latter but both were really great.
Who will win? Despite her SAG snub, King is still the frontrunner.