SAG Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Leading Role

Last year’s nominees: Judi Dench (Victoria and Abdul), Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water), Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri), Margot Robbie (I, Tonya), Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)

The three frontrunners here are Lady Gaga (A Star is Born), Glenn Close (The Wife), and Olivia Colman (The Favourite). I think that Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) is safe after scoring a Golden Globe nomination, and it’s just a question of who might join her. Drama nominees Nicole Kidman (Destroyer) and Rosamund Pike (A Private War) are possible, and the only real threat from the comedy categories is Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns). Other possibilities include Viola Davis (Widows), Yalitza Aparicio (Roma), Toni Collette (Hereditary), Kathryn Hahn (Private Life), and Saoirse Ronan (Mary, Queen of Scots). I’m going with Davis but I think it might also be Blunt or someone much more surprising.

Current predictions:
Glenn Close (The Wife)
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Viola Davis (Widows)
Lady Gaga (A Star is Born)
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)