Golden Globe Musings: Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

Golden Globe nominations for this year will be announced in just a few weeks, so here’s a survey of the contenders and the most likely predictions at this time. Weigh in with your thoughts, and let me know if I’ve left off anything important. A reminder that the Globes are wildly unpredictable and that it is still a bit early to gauge the reception or awards potential of a number of the so-called “contenders” at this point.

Last year’s nominees:
The Disaster Artist
Get Out
The Greatest Showman
I, Tonya
Lady Bird

There are two very clear frontrunners here - The Favourite and Green Book. Most haven’t seen it, but Vice has strong buzz and is likely to show up. Eighth Grade has won over many, and though it’s not a lock, its chances are good. Crazy Rich Asians and Love, Simon have plenty of fans. Mary Poppins Returns is a possibility too, but it’s hard to know if the film is actually good. Other popular sequels Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again, Paddington 2, and Deadpool 2 should garner votes but probably won’t ultimately make the cut. Another screwball option that’s just up Globe voters’ alley is The Death of Stalin. I wrote in my Monday Oscar Odds post this week that someone already went ahead and put up this year’s nominee list on Wikipedia – obviously it can’t be accurate, and I don’t think it will be all five of those films.

Current predictions:
Eighth Grade
The Favourite
Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns
Vice