Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Animated Feature

The competition: The Boss Baby, The Breadwinner, Coco, Ferdinand, Loving Vincent

Previous winners: Zootopia, Inside Out, Big Hero 6, Frozen, Brave, Rango, Toy Story 3, Up, Wall-E, Ratatouille, Happy Feet, Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit, The Incredibles, Finding Nemo, Spirited Away, Shrek
My winner: Announcing shortly after the Oscars!

The facts: “Coco” co-director Lee Unkrich won this award for “Toy Story 3” in 2010. “Coco” is from Pixar, which has won eight out of ten nominations. “The Boss Baby” is from Dreamworks, which has won two out of eleven nominations. “Ferdinand” is from 20th Century Fox and Blue Sky, which have earned several nominations apiece but no wins. “The Breadwinner” joins “Song of the Sea” and “The Secret of Kells” as the third nominee from the Irish Cartoon Saloon. “Loving Vincent” isn’t affiliated with any previously-nominated distributor or production company. “Coco” won the Golden Globe, the Critics’ Choice Award, the PGA Award, and the Annie Award. The only film ever to win all four and then lose the Oscar was “Cars,” and there’s no “Happy Feet” this year with a serious shot of upsetting.

Who should win: Two of these films were the last two I watched in any category. “The Boss Baby” does not belong here, and I think there are very few people who would argue that. “Ferdinand” is a perfectly good movie, though it’s not the best of this bunch. Both “The Breadwinner” and “Loving Vincent” address adult themes in creative and compelling ways, but nothing compares to the wondrous, seemingly universally-adored “Coco.”

Who will win: There are some years where this category isn’t locked, but we have a film in the vein of “Inside Out” and “Frozen.” There’s no way that Coco doesn’t take home the award.