Oscar Predictions: Best Sound Editing

This year, Oscar nominations will be announced on Tuesday, January 23rd. I’ll be offering detailed predictions in most of the major categories, saving some of the biggest categories for last.

Last year’s nominees: Arrival, Deepwater Horizon, Hacksaw Ridge, La La Land, Sully

This year’s locks: Dunkirk

Very likely: Blade Runner 2049, Baby Driver

Possible: Wonder Woman, Get Out, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, The Shape of Water, War for the Planet of the Apes

Unlikely: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Darkest Hour

The rundown: I’m really not great at differentiating this category from the sound (mixing) race, but I do know that musicals are less likely to show up here. Even if it somehow misses out on the sound and film editing categories, Baby Driver should have no trouble getting in here like “Sully” last year and the similarly-themed “Drive” a few years ago, joining sure thing Dunkirk and almost-guaranteed Blade Runner 2049. I feel like Wonder Woman can make the cut here, and Get Out seems like a stable fifth nominee, besting Star Wars: The Last Jedi and a few other contenders.

One possible crazy scenario: Best Animated Feature frontrunner Coco becomes the first animated film since “Toy Story 3” to score a bid in this category.

Forecasted winner: Probably Dunkirk here too.