Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

The competition: Mary J. Blige’s devoted matriarch (Mudbound), Hong Chau’s shrunken activist (Downsizing), Allison Janney’s cruel mother (I, Tonya), Laurie Metcalf’s concerned mother (Lady Bird), and Octavia Spencer’s sarcastic janitor (The Shape of Water).

For your information: Spencer won this award in 2011 for “The Help” and was nominated again last year for “Hidden Figures.” Janney has five previous TV nods, and Metcalf has two. Blige is also nominated for a song from her film this year, and has one previous song nomination. This is Chau’s first nomination. Janney, Metcalf, and Spencer all have their films nominated for the top prize.

Who should win? I haven’t seen Chau’s performance yet. Janney, Metcalf, and Spencer were all superb, so I’d be happy with any of them.

Who will win? While I’m sure both Blige and Janney will garner plenty of votes, I think that Metcalf is the frontrunner.