SAG Nominees: Best Male Actor in a Leading Role

My predictions: 3/5, picking Day-Lewis and Gyllenhaal over Kaluuya and Washington
Who’s missing? Daniel Day-Lewis, Jake Gyllenhaal, Tom Hanks

This is certainly interesting. Day-Lewis’ omission isn’t a shock because the film isn’t out yet and late-breakers often don’t get in with SAG. I predicted Hanks being snubbed, but not that his film would be shut out, which may also be because it’s a late-breaker. Gyllenhaal not being here is sad, and this may well be the nail in the coffin for him, which is disappointing. It’s a good day for Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out), whose film also scored for its ensemble (the only actor in this category whose film managed that), and I guess maybe he’s a stronger threat than I thought for Oscar attention. Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.) has now scored here and with Globe voters for a film everyone agrees wasn’t great and a performance that doesn’t compare to his previous work, so his inclusion feels unnecessary. Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) made the cut despite his film getting snubbed in supporting actor and ensemble, which is bad news for the film I’ve been predicting to win Best Picture. James Franco (The Disaster Artist) being here means that he’s being taken seriously, and I’m perfectly fine with that. And then we have Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour), who remains our frontrunner despite his film missing out on an ensemble nod that I think it might have deserved but never really had a shot at anyway.

Who will win? I’m going with Oldman.