SAG Nominees: Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role

My predictions: 4/5, picking Spencer over Chau
Who’s missing? Octavia Spencer, Melissa Leo, Michelle Pfeiffer

So much for Leo’s chances - let’s hope she can rebound at the Oscars. Mysteriously, Hong Chau (Downsizing), one of just two nominees whose film I haven’t seen, is charging along for a film receiving no other support. Spencer is out after a Globe bid, replaced by Holly Hunter (The Big Sick), whose film did great today with a surprising (but predicted by me) ensemble bid. Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) also found herself in the company of her ensemble after going it alone with the Globes. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) and Allison Janney (I, Tonya) continue to be the frontrunners in this race, with the former having a slight edge thanks to her film’s ensemble bid.

Who will win? Unless Blige or Chau builds momentum, I think this is Metcalf’s.