Golden Globe Musings: Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Golden Globe nominations for this year will be announced in just a few weeks, so here’s a survey of the contenders and the most likely predictions at this time. Weigh in with your thoughts, and let me know if I’ve left off anything important. A reminder that the Globes are wildly unpredictable and that it is still a bit early to gauge the reception or awards potential of a number of the so-called “contenders” at this point.

Last year’s nominees:
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water)
Simon Helberg (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Dev Patel (Lion)
Aaron Taylor-Johnson (Nocturnal Animals)

The surest bet in this race is Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project). I’m still perplexed that Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name) is being predicted by many instead of costar Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name). Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) will probably join them, and Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water) or Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water) could too. Idris Elba (Molly’s Game), Jason Mitchell (Mudbound), Ray Romano (The Big Sick), Ben Mendelsohn (Darkest Hour), and Mark Rylance (Dunkirk) could also break into this category.

Current predictions:
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water)