Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Documentary

The competition: Fire at Sea, I Am Not Your Negro, Life Animated, OJ: Made in America, 13th

Previous winners: Amy, Citizenfour, Twenty Feet from Stardom, Searching for Sugar Man, Undefeated, Inside Job, The Cove, Man on Wire
My winner: To be announced soon!
The facts: Every single filmmaker is a first-time nominee this year. Foreign nominees like “Fire at Sea” are common but don’t often win. “OJ: Made in America” runs almost eight hours - I can’t find definitive statistics, but I have to assume that it’s the longest film ever nominated in this category.

Who should win: I can’t understand how “OJ” can be judged alongside these much shorter films that actually feel like films. I’ll admit that I’m less than halfway through it and that I’m hoping to find another four plus hours before the Oscars air to finish - not sure a review is in the cards. It’s an intense and involving saga, but for me, “13th” was the indisputably effective standout of this category.
Who will win: I’d be the only person betting against OJ: Made in America if I didn’t predict it.