SAG Winner Predictions: Best Actress in a Supporting Role

The competition: Viola Davis’ loyal wife (Fences), Naomie Harris’ troubled mother (Moonlight), Nicole Kidman’s devoted mother (Lion), Octavia Spencer’s talented supervisor (Hidden Figures), and Michelle Williams’ devastated ex-wife (Manchester by the Sea).

For your information: This is Davis’ third nomination and Spencer’s second. Both won in 2011 for “The Help.” This is the fourth nomination for Kidman and the third for Davis. Harris is the only first-time nominee. All but Kidman are also recognized as part of their ensembles. The winner of this award has gone on to win the Oscar all but six times since it was first given out in 1994, with 1995, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2001, and 2007 as the outliers. Only once – in 2000 – was the eventual Oscar winner not nominated by SAG. This year, this list is identical to the corresponding Golden Globe and Oscar list.

Who should win: I like Williams best, though Davis was great too.

Who will win: I don’t see anyone stopping Davis.