Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Motion Picture – Drama

The competition: Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water, Lion, Manchester by the Sea, Moonlight

For your information: “Hell or High Water” and “Lion” are not nominated for Best Director, and “Hacksaw Ridge” and “Lion” are not up for Best Screenplay. “Moonlight” has six nominations, “Manchester by the Sea” has five, “Lion” has four, “Hacksaw Ridge” and “Hell or High Water” have three. I can’t find an instance of this prize being won by a film not up for Best Director, at least not in the past few decades. In the past ten years, only three of the winners have gone on to win the Best Picture Oscar.

Who should win? I loved “Hell or High Water” and would be ecstatic if that took it, but I think it’s my number two to “Manchester by the Sea.” I liked “Lion” a lot too, and “Moonlight” is great. “Hacksaw Ridge” was the most uneven of these but it was still good.

Who will win? It might be “Manchester by the Sea,” but I think this goes to Moonlight.