SAG Predictions: Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Last year’s nominees: Christian Bale (The Big Short), Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation), Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies), Michael Shannon (99 Homes), and Jacob Tremblay (Room)

The rundown: This category was quite a surprise last year (I got only one nominee right), and only two of these nominees went on to be included in Oscar’s list. The Globes already gave us two shocking inclusions yesterday – Simon Helberg (Florence Foster Jenkins) and Aaron Taylor-Johnson (Nocturnal Animals) – and I don’t expect either to repeat here. It’s very likely that the other three, Mahershala Ali (Moonlight), Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water), and Dev Patel (Lion), will make the cut. Most probable to join them is Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), and then there are a number of others who could round out the list. It might be Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals) or Liam Neeson (Silence), but I’ll give the edge to Ben Foster (Hell or High Water) instead. I would be ecstatic about this list – maybe I’m being too hopeful.

Current predictions: Ali, Bridges, Foster, Hedges, Patel