Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

The competition: The Big Short (Charles Randolph, Adam McKay), Brooklyn (Nick Hornby), Carol (Phyllis Nagy), The Martian (Drew Goddard), Room (Emma Donoghue)

Previous winners: The Imitation Game, 12 Years a Slave, Argo, The Descendants, The Social Network, Precious, Slumdog Millionaire, No Country for Old Men
My winner: “Steve Jobs”
The facts: Hornby was nominated in 2009 for writing the screenplay for "An Education." McKay is also nominated this year for directing his film. All of the others are first-time nominees. All but “Carol” are nominated for Best Picture.

Who should win: “Room” or “The Big Short”
Who will win: It might be “Room,” but The Big Short is set to take this.