SAG Winner Predictions: Best Actress in a Supporting Role

The competition: Rooney Mara’s impressionable salesgirl (Carol), Rachel McAdams’ determined reporter (Spotlight), Helen Mirren’s gossip queen (Trumbo), Alicia Vikander’s supportive wife (The Danish Girl), and Kate Winslet’s loyal collaborator (Steve Jobs).

For your information: This is Winslet’s tenth individual nomination. She has won three times, twice in this category. Mirren has been nominated nine times before and won four times. She is also nominated for Best Actress. The last time she was nominated in two categories (2006), she won both awards. This is the first nomination for Mara, McAdams, and Vikander. McAdams and Mirren are both nominated as part of their films’ ensembles.

Who should win: Winslet or Vikander

Who will win: Winslet won the Golden Globe, but she only beat Mirren’s performance, which is the only one she’s not facing at the Oscars. There isn’t a lock in this category, but I think that Mara is the strongest contender, though I wouldn’t be surprised if Winslet won here too.