SAG Winner Predictions: Best Actor in a Supporting Role

The competition: Christian Bale’s brilliant numbers guy (The Big Short), Idris Elba’s fearless commander (Beasts of No Nation), Mark Rylance’s quiet spy (Bridge of Spies), Michael Shannon’s fearsome real estate developer (99 Homes), and Jacob Tremblay’s bright-eyed world experiencer (Room).

For your information: Bale has been nominated - and won - once before, in 2010 in this category for “The Fighter.” This is the first nomination for Elba and Rylance, and both of them are also nominated for their TV miniseries work this year too. Shannon and Tremblay are first-time nominees as well. Bale and Elba are also nominated as part of their films’ ensembles.

Who should win: Tremblay or Shannon, though they’re both in my lead actor category

Who will win: Golden Globe winner Sylvester Stallone isn’t nominated here, so that leaves this category, which contains only two Oscar nominees, wide open. The safe choice is Rylance, and obviously I’d love to see Tremblay or Shannon, but I’m going to go with Elba.