SAG Predictions: Best Actress in a Leading Role

Last year’s nominees: Jennifer Aniston (Cake), Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything), Julianne Moore (Still Alice), Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl), and Reese Witherspoon (Wild).

The rundown: None of last year’s nominees will return this year, but there are a few solid frontrunners. Brie Larson (Room) will earn her first nomination as Cate Blanchett (Carol) will vie for her eighth. Jennifer Lawrence (Joy) is a good bet to earn her fourth nomination, and Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn) may earn her first. After that, it’s anyone’s guess: veterans like Charlotte Rampling (45 Years), Lily Tomlin (Grandma), or Maggie Smith (The Lady in the Van) or younger selections like Carey Mulligan (Suffragette). Maybe we’ll get a nice surprise like Aniston again this year.

Current predictions: Blanchett, Larson, Lawrence, Ronan, Smith