SAG Predictions: Best Actor in a Leading Role

Last year’s nominees: Steve Carell (Foxcatcher), Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game), Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler), Michael Keaton (Birdman), and Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything).

The rundown: Last year’s winner, Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl) is sure to return, while another nominee, Keaton, will probably be recognized in the supporting category. Likely joining him are Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant), Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs) and Matt Damon (The Martian). After that, there’s plenty of competition. Michael Caine (Youth) has never been nominated for a SAG and could earn his first nomination, and Will Smith (Concussion) could earn his second. Two-time TV honoree Bryan Cranston (Trumbo) has a decent shot at his first solo film nod, but I’m betting on Johnny Depp (Black Mass), who won this award twelve years ago for “Pirates of the Caribbean.”

Current predictions: Damon, Depp, DiCaprio, Fassbender, Redmayne