Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Actress in a Supporting Role

The competition: Amy Adams’ dutiful cult wife (The Master), Sally Field’s Mary Todd Lincoln (Lincoln), Anne Hathaway’s suffering mother (Les Miserables), Helen Hunt’s sex therapist (The Sessions), and Jacki Weaver’s devoted mother (Silver Linings Playbook).

Previous winners: Octavia Spencer, Melissa Leo, Mo’Nique, Penelope Cruz, Tilda Swinton, Jennifer Hudson
My winner: Ann Dowd
The facts: Everyone in this category is a returning nominee. Field has won twice before, in the leading race in 1979 and 1984. Hunt won that award in 1997. Adams is on her fourth nomination, and both Hathaway and Weaver are nominated for the second time.
Who should win: Hunt, but Hathaway was great too
Who will win: It’s not a competition. Hathaway is going to be the winner.