Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Documentary

The competition: Hell and Back Again, If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front, Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory, Pina, Undefeated

Previous winners: Inside Job, The Cove, Man on Wire, Taxi to the Dark Side, An Inconvenient Truth, March of the Penguins
My winner: Love Etc.
Who should win: If a Tree Falls
Who will win: I’ve seen only two of these films, and therefore I don’t feel terribly qualified to comment on this category. There’s been a surefire frontrunner for the past three years, and this year I’m not so sure. “Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory” has a timely relevance, whereas “Pina” has the art factor that hasn’t quite won this category in a while. A war-related film has only won in this category once in the past few years. I think I’ll go with “Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory.”