SAG Nominees: Best Actress in a Supporting Role

My predictions: 4/5, picking Weaver over Kunis
Who’s missing: Jacki Weaver (Animal Kingdom), Barbara Hershey (Black Swan), Dianne Wiest (Rabbit Hole), Marion Cotillard (Inception), Miranda Richardson (Made in Dagenham)

This is disconcerting. Mila Kunis (Black Swan) is performing exceptionally well with awards right now, and she really doesn’t deserve it for such a small, however decent, turn in a film that’s also performing better than expected. She certainly shouldn’t be taking Jacki Weaver’s spot. Hailee Steinfeld (True Grit) gets a good boost after her Globe snub, and she’s now much more on track for an Oscar nod. All the unseen contenders mentioned after Weaver above are becoming less and less likely to become Oscar nominees, and Kunis’ continued presence means that one of these five (plus Weaver) won’t make the final cut. The other three nominees do seem pretty safe, especially considering how well their films performed, taking four nominations each: Amy Adams and Melissa Leo (The Fighter) and Helena Bonham Carter (The King’s Speech).

Who could win? A toss-up. It depends who wins the Globe, but maybe Carter?