Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Documentary

The nominees:
THE BETRAYAL
ENCOUNTERS AT THE END OF THE WORLD
THE GARDEN
MAN ON WIRE
TROUBLE THE WATER

My ballot: N/A
Who should win: I’ve only seen “Man on Wire,” but it was terrific!
Who will win: The frontrunner seems to be Man on Wire, though there’s the chance for an upset by “Trouble the Water,” whose serious nature could trump the former more fun film, just like last year when “Taxi to the Dark Side” beat out “Sicko.”