Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Foreign Film

The competition: “The Baader Meinhof Complex” from Germany, “Gomorra” from Italy, “I’ve Loved You So Long” from France, “Everlasting Moments” from Sweden, and “Waltz with Bashir” from Israel.
For your information: The past three winners in this category did not go on to win the Oscar. “Paradise Now” lost to “Tsotsi” at the Academy Awards, and “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly” and “Letters from Iwo Jima” were ineligible. Out of this year’s crop, only “I’ve Loved You So Long” is ineligible for the Oscar. France submitted the heavily overrated but entirely inferior “The Class” instead.
Who should win: I’ve only seen “I’ve Loved You So Long” and “Waltz with Bashir,” and the latter is my favorite film of the year.
Who will win: I’ve been hearing great things about “Gomorra,” but the recent selection by the National Society of Film Critics of Waltz with Bashir as their Best Picture choice gives me faith that it can win.