In finalizing my predictions, I want to try not to think too much about this morning’s SAG announcement, since it’s much more fun to try to narrow down a bunch of fields to a slimmer selection, rather than the other way around. I’ve decided that it’s smart for me to go by GoldDerby’s category classifications, which means moving both “The Descendants” and “The Help” over to drama. I’m also not putting much faith in “The Ides of March” since that seems to be a non-starter. Click on hyperlinked category headings below to read my musings about each race, and refer to this page only for my final predictions. I’ll have reactions by category tomorrow morning, so stop by throughout the day to read my thoughts on who got nominated. Leave your predictions in the comments!
No guts, no glory:
“Warrior” for Best Motion Picture – Drama
Ed Helms for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical for “Cedar Rapids”
Jessica Chastain with multiple nominations in Best Supporting Actress
Best Motion Picture – Drama
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Moneyball
War Horse
Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
The Artist
Beginners
Bridesmaids
Midnight in Paris
Young Adult
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
Ryan Gosling (Drive)
Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Viola Davis (The Help)
Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)
Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical
Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
Paul Giamatti (Win Win)
Joseph Gordon-Levitt (50/50)
Ryan Gosling (Crazy Stupid Love)
Tom Hanks (Larry Crowne)
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical
Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
Julia Roberts (Larry Crowne)
Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
Albert Brooks (Drive)
Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)
Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Jessica Chastain (The Help)
Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
Octavia Spencer (The Help)
Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
Best Director - Motion Picture
Clint Eastwood (J. Edgar)
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
Steven Spielberg (War Horse)
Best Screenplay - Motion Picture
The Artist
The Descendants
The Help
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
Best Original Score - Motion Picture
The Adventures of Tintin
The Artist
Hugo
J. Edgar
War Horse
Best Original Song - Motion Picture
Albert Nobbs (Lay Your Head Down)
Happy Feet Two (Bridge of Light)
The Help (The Living Proof)
The Muppets (Life’s a Happy Song)
The Muppets (Pictures in My Head)
Best Animated Feature Film
The Adventures of Tintin
Cars 2
Happy Feet Two
Kung Fu Panda 2
Rango
Best Foreign Language Film
Le Havre (Finland)
A Separation (Iran)
Where Do We Go Now? (Lebanon)
Miss Bala (Mexico)
The Skin I Live In (Spain)
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