Golden Globe Predictions: Best Screenplay – Motion Picture

I’ve been predicting the Golden Globe nominations for more than fifteen years, and even if the group doesn’t have the same industry relevance as in the past, it’s still helpful and fun to see what films and performances get honored. Here’s my assessment of the contenders in this category.

Last year’s nominees:
Being the Ricardos
Belfast
Don’t Look Up
Licorice Pizza
The Power of the Dog

The Globes don’t have separate categories for original and adapted screenplays, which means that the buzziest films nominated in the top races often place here, along with a few surprising inclusions every couple of years. I have a pretty good idea of four films that will probably place: The Fabelmans, Women Talking, The Banshees of Inisherin, and Everything Everywhere All at Once. For the fifth slot, there are many options. I’m opting for She Said, though it could also be The Whale, Tár, or Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery. Other options include The Menu, White Noise, Triangle of Sadness, and Empire of Light. If the films are well-loved, watch out for Babylon, Bros, Elvis, and RRR.

Current predictions:
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
She Said
Women Talking