Golden Globe Predictions: Best Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

I’ve been predicting the Golden Globe nominations for more than fifteen years, and even if the group doesn’t have the same industry relevance as in the past, it’s still helpful and fun to see what films and performances get honored. Here’s my assessment of the contenders in this category.

Last year’s nominees:
Caitriona Balfe (Belfast)
Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)
Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
Aunjanue Ellis (King Richard)
Ruth Negga (Passing)

Two films have two contenders each, and it’s hard to imagine double dual nominees. Jessie Buckley (Women Talking) and Claire Foy (Women Talking) both seem likely to get in, while I think that Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once) and Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once) will both just miss out. Hong Chau (The Whale) is a good bet, though I do wish that her costar Sadie Sink (The Whale) was getting similar attention. Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) is a wonderful standout of a film I liked much less than most people, and, provided she’s not classified as a lead, Carey Mulligan (She Said) could round out this category. The same thing goes for Janelle Monáe (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Story). Votes will also surely go to Nina Hoss (Tár), Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness), Gabrielle Union (The Inspection), and Jean Smart (Babylon)

Current predictions:
Jessie Buckley (Women Talking)
Hong Chau (The Whale)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Claire Foy (Women Talking)
Carey Mulligan (She Said)