Golden Globe Predictions: Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

I’ve been predicting the Golden Globe nominations for more than fifteen years, and even if the group doesn’t have the same industry relevance as in the past, it’s still helpful and fun to see what films and performances get honored. Here’s my assessment of the contenders in this category.

Last year’s nominees:
Ben Affleck (The Tender Bar)
Jamie Dornan (Belfast)
Ciarán Hinds (Belfast)
Troy Kotsur (CODA)
Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)

I feel most confident in my choices for this category, but that doesn’t mean I’m going to be right. Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) and Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) are the safest bets, and Paul Dano (The Fabelmans) and Ben Whishaw (Women Talking) seem likely to join them. I think Brad Pitt (Babylon) will land the fifth slot, even if it’s not a performance that will necessarily translate to Oscar love. Two of my predicted nominees have costars who could join them – Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) and Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans) – and, if their films go over well, Woody Harrelson (Triangle of Sadness), Mark Rylance (Bones and All), and Tom Hanks (Elvis) could benefit, and a few performers could show up even without their films: Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway), Harry Styles (My Policeman), and Eddie Redmayne (The Good Nurse).

Current predictions:
Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brad Pitt (Babylon)
Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Ben Whishaw (Women Talking)