My predictions: 3/5
Who’s missing? Sarah Polley (Women Talking), S.S.Rajamouli (RRR)
This is probably the biggest snub of the day and one that’s inexplicable: Polley, who made one of the best films of the year and would have been the only woman nominated in this category had she been included. I recognize that Rajamouli was a major longshot, but I didn’t see Baz Luhrmann (Elvis) coming, though I guess it does make sense. James Cameron (Avatar: The Way of Water) did win this prize back in 2009 for the first film, so I hope to appreciate his second effort when I go see it tonight. The other three were all expected and their films are the nominations leaders: Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans), Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin), and, most excitingly, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once).
Who will win? Without Polley in the race, it’s either Cameron or Spielberg.
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