The competition: Don’t Look Up (Hank Corwin), Dune (Joe Walker), King Richard (Pamela Martin), The Power of the Dog (Pamela Sciberras), tick, tick…BOOM! (Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum)
Previous winners: Sound of Metal, Ford v Ferrari, Bohemian Rhapsody, Dunkirk, Hacksaw Ridge, Mad Max: Fury Road, Whiplash
My winner: Coming soon!
The facts: This is the third nomination for Corwin, who was previously nominated for his past collaborations with director Adam McKay, “The Big Short” and “Vice.” This is the third nomination for Walker, who was previously nominated for “Arrival” and “12 Years a Slave.” This is the second nomination for both Martin and Weisblum, who were previously cited for “The Fighter” and “Black Swan,” respectively. At the American Cinema Editors Awards, “King Richard” beat “Dune” and “The Power of the Dog,” and “tick, tick…BOOM!” beat “Licorice Pizza.” The winner of this award hasn’t gone on to win Best Picture since “Argo” in 2012, and it’s actually much more common for the two not to match up, though all but one of the last ten winners were nominated for the top prize. All of these films but “tick, tick…BOOM!” are nominated for Best Picture.
Who should win: “tick, tick…BOOM!” or “Dune”
Who will win: I’d love to predict “tick, tick…BOOM!” but I think that Dune is the safest option.
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