The competition: Encanto, Flee, Luca, The Mitchells vs. the Machines, Raya and the Last Dragon
Previous winners: Soul, Toy Story 4, Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, Coco, Zootopia, Inside Out, Big Hero 6, Frozen, Brave, Rango, Toy Story 3, Up, Wall-E, Ratatouille, Happy Feet, Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit, The Incredibles, Finding Nemo, Spirited Away, Shrek
My winner: Coming soon
The facts: Pixar has won eleven times out of fifteen nominations, and has “Luca” in contention this year. Disney, which made “Encanto” and “Raya and the Last Dragon,” has eleven previous nominations and three wins. Sony’s second nominee, “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse,” won this prize three years ago, and now the studio has “The Mitchells vs. the Machines” here. Though there have been a handful of foreign-language films nominated, none have won, marking an uphill battle for “Flee,” which is also up for Best International Feature and Best Documentary. The only other film with an additional nomination is “Encanto,” which is up for Best Original Score and Best Original Song. While the Annie Awards went wild for “The Mitchells vs. the Machines” and also gave “Flee” its Indie Feature prize, “Encanto” won the Golden Globe, the BAFTA, and the PGA Award.
Who should win: “Encanto” is one of my favorite movies of the year. But I also really liked “The Mitchells vs. the Machines” and would be happy to see that win.
Who will win: It’s hard to tell. The additional bids for Encanto may put it over the top, but now it feels like “The Mitchells vs. the Machines” might overtake it. I’m sticking with the former. “Flee” is also possible, but I don’t think it’s going to win here.
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