For your information: Chastain has two previous nominations, for “Zero Dark Thirty” and “The Help.” Colman has two previous nominations for “The Crown” and was also recognized for “The Father” and “The Favourite.” Gaga was nominated for “A Star is Born.” Hudson won in 2006 for “Dreamgirls.” Kidman has nine previous nominations, with one win, for “Big Little Lies” in 2018. Only Gaga is also nominated this year as part of her ensemble. All but eight times since the SAG Awards’ inception in 1994, the winner of this award has gone on to win the corresponding Oscar, with the most recent case of that not happening being last year when Viola Davis beat eventual Oscar champ Frances McDormand. This year is interesting since Kidman beat Chastain, Colman, and Gaga at the Golden Globes, only Gaga is nominated at BAFTA, and Gaga and Hudson didn’t make the Oscar list. Expected nominee Kristen Stewart is absent from this list but in the Oscar lineup, along with Penélope Cruz.
Who should win? Chastain is my clear favorite from this list.
Who will win? I think Gaga wins here, though it could easily be Colman or Kidman too.
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