My predictions: 4/5
My ballot: Coming soon!
The nominees: Ciarán Hinds, Troy Kotsur, Jesse Plemons, J.K. Simmons, Kodi Smit-McPhee
I’m disappointed to see that two actors I really liked this year in buzzy films, Mike Faist and Jamie Dornan, couldn’t make the cut. It seems that Ciarán Hinds (Belfast) benefited from voters preferring the older generation in his film, while J.K. Simmons (Being the Ricardos) earned a mildly unexpected bid for a performance that was honestly quite entertaining. Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog) scored here after a BAFTA nod and not too much else this awards season, joining his costar and continued frontrunner Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog). I’m thrilled that Troy Kotsur (CODA) is here, and I just wish that his film would have made more of a splash in other categories since it remains my favorite of the year. And we have no Jared Leto or Ben Affleck despite precursor enthusiasm.
My current bet to win: Even with his costar now in the mix, Smit-McPhee should remain the frontrunner, unless Kotsur can muster enough support to upset.
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